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© Copyright 2004 The British Pharmacological Society

190P GKT, University of London
Winter Meeting December 2003

Effect of the women's health initiative trial on hormone replacement therapy prescribing


C Usher, M Teeling, K Bennett, J Feely, Dept of Therapeutics, Trinity College and St James's Hospital, Dublin 8, Ireland.

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Usher C
Teeling M
Bennett K
Feely J

Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) has been used for many years to manage menopausal symptoms and for the prevention of osteoporosis. Although previously thought to confer protection against cardiovascular disease (CVD), recently published randomised controlled trials have reported an increased risk of CVD with certain forms of combination HRT.

This study assessed the effect of the publication of one such study, the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) study1 in July 2002 (which was widely covered in the popular media) on HRT prescribing patterns in Ireland. The General Medical Services (GMS) prescription database was used to identify women aged 45-69 years who were prescribed HRT from Jan. 2001 - April 2003. Prescription rates were calculated at 3-monthly intervals for the following preparations: oestrogen only (EST) combined (i.e. oestrogen / progesterone) continuous HRT (cHRT), combined sequential HRT (sHRT) and tibolone. Age-adjusted rates were calculated per 1,000 GMS population. Linear and quadratic trends were calculated to evaluate prescription patterns over time. Results showed statistically significant reduction in prescription rates for all HRT preparations during the study (Table 1). Oestrogen, the most commonly prescribed preparation showed similar rates of reduction compared with cHRT and sHRT, while tibolone, the least commonly prescribed preparation, showed a lower but still statistically significant reduction.

Table 1: Prescribing patterns of HRT Jan, 2001-April 2003

Age-adjusted prescribing rate / 1000 GMS population
Month
Total on HRT (n)
Tibolone
EST only
cHRT
sHRT
Jan 01
5963
24.3
150.5
88
132.9
Apr 01
5604
23.4
140.3
86.4
121.7
Jul 01
5733
24.3
140.4
92
123.6
Oct 01
5821
23.7
146.1
94.9
122.2
Jan 02
6012
26.2
152.2
100.7
120.5
Apr 02
5924
26.5
144.1
106.2
116.5
Jul 02
5851
28.1
146.0
104.2
111.6
Oct 02
5215
26
132.6
93.1
94.8
Jan 03
4887
24.8
126.6
84.8
88.7
Apr 03
4593
24.0
118.4
79.9
82.9
Test forlinear trend
P=0.025
P<0.001
P<0.001
P<0.001
Test for quadratic trend
P=0.032
P<0.001
P<0.001

The decline in prescribing rates was particularly evident from July 2002 onwards for EST, cHRT and sHRT. Since the results show a reduced prescribing rate of all HRT, although the WHI trial results related to combination preparations only, the findings suggest that the media coverage and prescriber uncertainty has had a negative impact on overall HRT prescribing.

1WHI study, JAMA 2002;288:321-333.